Oxford researchers have helped calculate the average house price across Britain will be 23.4 per cent, or £84,000, higher in five years’ time.
Oxford Economics worked with estate services company Savills to reveal the typical property value will reach £442,000 by the end of the five-year period to 2029, from £358,000 currently.
The property firm expects house prices to increase by four per cent, or £14,500, on average next year alone.
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Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills, said: “The direction of mortgage rates has been key to buyer decisions over the past two years, and decreased monthly mortgage costs are now feeding through into improved confidence amongst prospective buyers, prompting the moderate house price growth we have seen over the past few months.
“A steady improvement in affordability should allow for house price growth to gain momentum over the next couple of years. But there is still some potential for a bumpy ride.
“The market will remain sensitive to short-term fluctuations in the cost of debt and changes to property taxation have the potential to cause some short-term disruption.”
The predictions are based on “mainstream” house prices, covering the majority of the housing market. Savills will launch a separate forecast for the prime property market in December.
Savills said the forecast is also based on second-hand property prices, and new-build prices could perform differently.
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The research involved used data from Nationwide Building Society as well as Oxford Economics.
Emily Williams, director of research at Savills, said: “Looking ahead, we can expect some home-movers to continue to hold off on moving until rates settle in 2027, when they will have also benefited from several years of house price growth to build up equity.
“As such, there is potential for a sharp rise in activity among second- and third-steppers in the second half of our forecast period, as pent-up demand from the period of high interest rates is released."
She added: “Lower levels of homeworking and the need to return to commuter hotspots near major employment hubs has driven slightly stronger than expected performance in London over the last 12 months.
“We expect to see some residual impact of the unwinding of the ‘race for space’ in 2025, bringing growth in the south west and east of England below that of the capital.
“But beyond 2025, affordability will have the biggest influence in every region. Despite falling mortgage rates, buyers in London and the south east will still need to borrow more relative to their income, and accumulate a bigger deposit to buy, constraining house price growth.”
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